Game Result Predictions
Sunday, April 28
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Clarksville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
SIUE (19-32, Road 4-23) |
1 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | 13 | ✔ | 3 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
|
Austin Peay (32-25, Home 19-11) |
6 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 7 (-6) |
8 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Charleston, IL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tennessee-Martin (22-31, Road 9-18) |
5 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 11 | ✔ | 5 | -0.5 | 54% | ✘ | |
|
Eastern Illinois (23-29, Home 6-9) |
16 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 21 (10) |
4 | +0.5 | 46% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Charleston, IL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tennessee-Martin (22-31, Road 9-18) |
9 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 11 | ✘ | 5 | -0.5 | 54% | ✔ | |
|
Eastern Illinois (23-29, Home 6-9) |
4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 13 (2) |
4 | +0.5 | 46% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Jacksonville, AL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Morehead State (40-21, Road 11-17) |
5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✘ | 4 | +3.0 | 32% | ✘ | |
|
Jacksonville State (39-23, Home 20-11) |
0 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 5 (-8) |
7 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Murray, KY | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Eastern Kentucky (31-27, Road 7-12) |
5 | 7 | +1.0 | 46% | 15 | ✔ | 7 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
|
Murray State (23-30, Home 16-11) |
6 | 8 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (-4) |
6 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| West Lafayette, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southeast Missouri (21-32, Road 6-17) |
3 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +2.0 | 38% | ✔ | |
|
Purdue (20-34, Home 13-10) |
8 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (2) |
5 | -2.0 | 62% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Cookeville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Belmont (27-30, Road 10-10) |
11 | 7 | +1.0 | 46% | 15 | ✘ | 6 | +0.5 | 53% | ✘ | |
|
Tennessee Tech (22-32, Home 17-11) |
7 | 8 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 18 (3) |
7 | -0.5 | 47% | |||